The probability of flood somewhere in North America will always be bigger than flood in California, however the participants in a study relied on vivid memories, and the mental model of earthquakes a recurring feature in California, leading to floods would lead them to believe that floods somewhere in North America would be probabilistically smaller than California.
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Availability Heuristic & Temporal…
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The probability of flood somewhere in North America will always be bigger than flood in California, however the participants in a study relied on vivid memories, and the mental model of earthquakes a recurring feature in California, leading to floods would lead them to believe that floods somewhere in North America would be probabilistically smaller than California.